The U.S. Supreme Court, in Trump v. Barbara, struck down an executive order redefining birthright citizenship, reaffirming that children born on American soil are citizens under the Fourteenth Amendment. Yet the decision leaves the president's core immigration tools untouched: TPS terminations, asylum limits, deportations, and new visa fees. Our analysis explains why Barbara is an exception, not a reversal, and its consequences for Latin America and global talent flows.

De la Espriella's narrow runoff win has markets betting on a hydrocarbon revival. But our new analysis separates what the incoming government can do quickly from what Congress and the courts will block — and finds that while the political shift is immediate, the structural change is anything but.

Colombia's June 21 runoff is framed as a choice between Cepeda's negotiated continuity and de la Espriella's Bukele-style mano dura backed by Washington. We argue both misread a structural crisis: incarceration cannot dislodge territorial, drug-financed armed groups, and an overextended patron offers conditional returns.

Colombia’s June 21 runoff is widely read as an American story — a polling upset, a Trump-captured right, a global rightward wave. Our new analysis argues most of that framing breaks on arrival. The math favors Abelardo de la Espriella, the pattern is the Latin American pendulum rather than a global tide, and the real challenge is governing afterward — whoever wins inherits a country without a legislative majority and a contested result.